Daily Bitcoin Blog

Bitcoin Blog 15-11-2025 09:00

Bitcoin is currently trading up around 1.59%, bolstered by a renewed global risk-appetite that has lifted crypto markets higher. The uptick follows an announcement of a major trade-deal between the U.S. and the EU — in which Donald Trump confirmed a tariff agreement aimed at easing macroeconomic fears and restoring investor confidence. Crypto News Australia+2Markets+2

This favourable policy backdrop has complemented renewed institutional accumulation: veteran players are stepping in while sell-side risk remains low. For example, Tokyo-based Metaplanet is reported to have added 780 BTC (≈ US$92.5 million). Demand continues to firm up, supporting price strength above the US$96,000 level.

Key recent developments & deeper findings

• The U.S.–EU trade deal has just avoided a full tariff war and is being identified as a driver of market optimism. Crypto News Australia+1

• Institutional flows provide both direct and indirect support: while some crypto-ETF vehicles tied to Bitcoin saw modest outflows in August, other long-term accumulation metrics suggest preparation for a larger up-move. VanEck Ireland | ETFs & Mutual Funds+1

• Technical and on-chain data continue to hint at a constructive setup. One market study notes similar accumulation patterns and chart formations preceded major rallies in previous years. AMBCrypto

• Although short-term volatility remains present, the broader sentiment shift away from risk-off toward risk-on is providing a tailwind for crypto assets as they increasingly track macro and institutional flows.

Outlook

With the macrobackdrop improving (thanks to tariff relief and risk-appetite), and institutional demand gathering momentum, Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory looks supported — so long as large sell-side events remain absent. The key is whether institutional flows accelerate, which would materially boost price momentum beyond current levels.

Bitcoin Blog 17-11-2025 09:00

Bitcoin is trading up more than 1%, hovering around $95,200, as renewed risk-appetite in global markets fuels momentum. The latest catalyst: confirmation of a reduction in U.S. tariffs on EU goods, which has helped ease macroeconomic fears and sparked broader appetite for “risk” assets.

The upward move is also underpinned by strong institutional accumulation. Notably, Tokyo-based Metaplanet Inc. added 780 BTC in its most recent purchase, bringing its total holdings to 17,132 BTC (worth roughly US $2 billion) — a clear signal of ongoing corporate demand for Bitcoin. CryptoPotato+3CoinDesk+3CoinMarketCap+3

In addition to that high-profile transaction, trading volumes across major exchanges have remained elevated, and indicators of positive sentiment (from on-chain flows, ETF inflows and net accumulation by large wallets) are helping to reinforce price support. The consolidation below all-time highs appears to be attracting both retail and institutional players, easing concerns of immediate downside risk.

Bitcoin Blog 18-11-2025 09:00

Bitcoin is trading 1.27% lower, currently hovering around $90,932, as the market experiences a sharp unwinding of bullish positions following its recent push toward record highs. Today’s decline reflects a broader risk-off shift, with traders locking in profits amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of key U.S. economic data releases and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest-rate decision.

The pullback has been accompanied by elevated trading volumes, suggesting meaningful repositioning rather than shallow intraday volatility. Technical resistance around the $92,000 level continues to cap upside momentum, reinforcing short-term selling pressure as price struggles to reclaim bullish market structure.

At the same time, a cautious rotation out of high-beta assets — including cryptocurrencies — is underway, with capital flowing toward safer sectors as investors brace for potential tightening in monetary policy. On-chain activity also indicates a modest increase in exchange inflows, signaling that some traders are preparing to de-risk further if macro conditions deteriorate.

Despite the near-term weakness, long-term holders remain relatively stable, hinting that today’s move is driven primarily by speculative positioning rather than structural shifts in market conviction.

Bitcoin Blog 19-11-2025 09:00

Bitcoin is trading 1.81% lower, currently near $91,234, as sustained ETF outflows, weakening institutional participation, and increased distribution from long-term holders continue to weigh on market sentiment. The breakdown below the key $93,000–$95,000 support zone has accelerated bearish momentum, with retail demand remaining muted while broader risk-off pressure intensifies amid sharp declines in major tech stocks.

Adding to the uncertainty, Mt. Gox moved approximately $956 million in BTC, raising concerns over potential sell-side pressure and further destabilizing already fragile market conditions. This surge in circulating supply has amplified intraday volatility and reinforced a defensive stance among market participants.

Technically, the market structure has deteriorated further following the emergence of a death cross, where the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average. This traditionally bearish signal highlights a shift toward prolonged downside risk and reflects growing weakness in medium-term trend strength.

Taken together, the combination of macro risk aversion, structural technical weakness, and renewed supply overhang is creating a challenging environment for Bitcoin, with traders watching closely for signs of stabilization or deeper corrective continuation.

Trend Structure:
Bitcoin remains in a confirmed short-term downtrend, reinforced by the recent death cross (50MA crossing below the 200MA). This signals weakening momentum and elevated probability of continued downside in the coming sessions.

Key Support Levels

• $90,000 – Psychological level and minor horizontal support. A break below increases downside risk.

• $88,500 – Recent local liquidity pocket; strong demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.

• $86,200 – Major structural support; a breakdown here could open the door to deeper losses toward the low-$80Ks.

Key Resistance Levels

• $93,000 – Former support turned resistance; sellers aggressively defending this level.

• $95,000–$95,500 – Confluence zone with moving averages and breakdown area — a critical barrier for bullish reversal attempts.

• $98,000 – Upper resistance range; reclaiming this would shift short-term momentum back to neutral.

Momentum Indicators

• RSI trending below 40 indicates bearish momentum, though not yet oversold — suggesting room for further downside.

On a more constructive note, institutional positioning appears steadier than headline outflows imply. While ETFs are bleeding capital, several large on-chain entities and long-horizon participants are maintaining or gradually rebuilding exposure — a sign that long-term conviction remains intact.

Overall, although sentiment across the crypto complex is still cautious, improving miner behavior and resilient institutional activity are helping to stabilize Bitcoin at current levels, providing a potential base for recovery if macro pressures ease.

Bitcoin Blog 20-11-2025 09:00

Bitcoin is trading 0.37% higher, currently around $91,803, after a turbulent stretch marked by significant outflows from major spot Bitcoin ETFs — including a record $523 million single-day withdrawal from BlackRock’s fund. These heavy redemptions have weighed on broader market sentiment, keeping both crypto assets and related equities under pressure.

Despite the weak macro backdrop, surging trading volumes and early signs of renewed miner accumulation have helped provide short-term support above the $91,000 level. Miners shifting from net distribution back toward modest accumulation suggests a stabilizing trend in operational confidence, easing fears of aggressive miner-driven sell pressure.

However, market liquidity remains thin, and the presence of leveraged positions continues to amplify intraday volatility, leading to exaggerated price swings even on relatively small order flows. This fragility in market depth has made Bitcoin especially sensitive to ETF flows and large wallet movements.